Maryland Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Chaffee a 10% chance of winning the Maryland Senate 2022 primary. Chris Chaffee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Chaffee — 10% model odds (won)
  2. Lorie R. Friend — 10% model odds
  3. John Thormann — 10% model odds
  4. Joseph Perez — 10% model odds
  5. George Davis — 10% model odds
  6. James Tarantin — 10% model odds
  7. Reba A. Hawkins — 10% model odds
  8. Jon Mcgreevey — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts