Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott M. Collier a 25% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Scott M. Collier won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Scott M. Collier — 25% model odds (won)
2. Lorrie A. Sigley — 25% model odds
3. Michael Pearson — 25% model odds
4. Ray Bly — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts