Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kweisi Mfume an 81% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Kweisi Mfume won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kweisi Mfume — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Tashi Kimandus Davis — 6% model odds
  3. Wayne "For Freedom" Mcneal — 6% model odds
  4. Elihu Eli El — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts