Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Neil C. Parrott a 51% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Neil C. Parrott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Neil C. Parrott — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Matthew Foldi — 10% model odds
  3. Mariela Roca — 10% model odds
  4. Colt M. Black — 10% model odds
  5. Jonathan Jenkins — 10% model odds
  6. Robert Poissonnier — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts