Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David J. Trone an 82% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. David J. Trone won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David J. Trone — 82% model odds (won)
2. Ben Smilowitz — 9% model odds
3. George Gluck — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts