Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Palombi a 19% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Chris Palombi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Palombi — 19% model odds (won)
  2. Vanessa Marie Hoffman — 13% model odds
  3. Tannis Villanova — 13% model odds
  4. Michael S. Lemon — 13% model odds
  5. Toni Jarboe-Duley — 13% model odds
  6. Patrick Lucky Stevens — 13% model odds
  7. Duval Cubero — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts