Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steny Hoyer a 55% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Steny Hoyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Steny Hoyer — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Mckayla Wilkes — 39% model odds
  3. Keith Washington — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts