Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donna F. Edwards a 45% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Glenn F. Ivey won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Donna F. Edwards — 45% model odds
  2. Glenn F. Ivey — 40% model odds (won)
  3. Angela M. Angel — 2% model odds
  4. Tammy Allison — 2% model odds
  5. Kim A. Shelton — 2% model odds
  6. Gregory Holmes — 2% model odds
  7. James Levi, Jr. Curtis — 2% model odds
  8. Matthew F. Fogg — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts