Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nicolee Ambrose a 47% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Nicolee Ambrose won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nicolee Ambrose — 47% model odds (won)
  2. Dave Wallace — 11% model odds
  3. Michael A. Geppi — 11% model odds
  4. Berney Flowers — 11% model odds
  5. Ellen "Ej" Mcnulty — 11% model odds
  6. Lance Griffin — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts