Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger an 81% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger — 81% model odds (won)
  2. George Croom — 6% model odds
  3. Marques Dent — 6% model odds
  4. Liri Fusha — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts