Maryland House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Heather R. Mizeur a 78% chance of winning the Maryland House 2022 primary. Heather R. Mizeur won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Heather R. Mizeur — 78% model odds (won)
  2. R. David Harden — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts