Massachusetts House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jesse G. Brown a 64% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2022 primary. Jesse G. Brown won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jesse G. Brown — 64% model odds (won)
2. Dan Sullivan — 18% model odds
3. All Others — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts