Massachusetts House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Caroline Colarusso a 75% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2022 primary. Caroline Colarusso won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Caroline Colarusso — 75% model odds (won)
  2. All Others — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts