Kentucky Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rand Paul a 32% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2022 primary. Rand Paul won, matching the model's top pick.
- Rand Paul — 32% model odds (won)
- Valerie "Dr. Val" Fredrick — 14% model odds
- Paul V. Hamilton — 14% model odds
- Arnold Blankenship — 14% model odds
- Tami L. Stainfield — 14% model odds
- John Schiess — 14% model odds