Kentucky Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charles Booker a 25% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2022 primary. Charles Booker won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Charles Booker — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Joshua Wesley, Sr. Blanton — 25% model odds
  3. John Merrill — 25% model odds
  4. Ruth Gao — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts