Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Harold "Hal" Rogers an 82% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. Harold "Hal" Rogers won, matching the model's top pick.
- Harold "Hal" Rogers — 82% model odds (won)
- Jeannette Andrews — 5% model odds
- Brandon Russell Monhollen — 5% model odds
- Rich Van Dam — 5% model odds
- Gerardo Serrano — 3% model odds