Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stuart N. Ray a 14% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. Stuart N. Ray won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Stuart N. Ray — 14% model odds (won)
  2. Rhonda Palazzo — 14% model odds
  3. Mike Craven — 14% model odds
  4. Gregory P. Puccetti — 14% model odds
  5. Daniel Cobble — 14% model odds
  6. Justin Gregory — 14% model odds
  7. Darien D. Barrios Moreno — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts