Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave S. Brett Guthrie an 80% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. S. Brett Guthrie won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. S. Brett Guthrie — 80% model odds (won)
  2. E. Lee Watts — 10% model odds
  3. Brent Feher — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts