Kentucky House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Hank Linderman a 50% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2022 primary. Hank Linderman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Hank Linderman — 50% model odds (won)
  2. William Dakota Compton — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts