Kansas Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark R. Holland a 17% chance of winning the Kansas Senate 2022 primary. Mark R. Holland won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mark R. Holland — 17% model odds (won)
  2. Paul Buskirk — 17% model odds
  3. Patrick Wiesner — 17% model odds
  4. Mike Andra — 17% model odds
  5. Robert Klingenberg — 17% model odds
  6. Michael Soetaert — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts