Indiana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Erin Houchin a 63% chance of winning the Indiana House 2022 primary. Erin Houchin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Erin Houchin — 63% model odds (won)
  2. Stu Barnes-Israel — 9% model odds
  3. Mike Sodrel — 4% model odds
  4. Jim Baker — 4% model odds
  5. J. Michael Davisson — 4% model odds
  6. D. Eric Schansberg — 4% model odds
  7. Brian Tibbs — 4% model odds
  8. Dan Heiwig — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts