Indiana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Isak Asare a 50% chance of winning the Indiana House 2022 primary. Matthew Fyfe won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Isak Asare — 50% model odds
  2. Matthew Fyfe — 44% model odds (won)
  3. D. Liam Dorris — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts