Indiana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jennifer-Ruth Green a 79% chance of winning the Indiana House 2022 primary. Jennifer-Ruth Green won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jennifer-Ruth Green — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Leyva — 4% model odds
  3. Nicholas Pappas — 4% model odds
  4. Martin Lucas — 4% model odds
  5. Aaron Storer — 4% model odds
  6. Blair E. Milo — 3% model odds
  7. Ben Ruiz — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts