Indiana House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rudolph (Rudy), Iii # Yakym a 33% chance of winning the Indiana House 2022 primary. Jackie # Walorski won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Rudolph (Rudy), Iii # Yakym — 33% model odds
2. Jackie # Walorski — 33% model odds (won)
3. Rudolph (Rudy), Iii Yakym — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts