Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Esther Joy King a 73% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Esther Joy King won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Esther Joy King — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Charles "Charlie" William, Jr. Helmick — 27% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts