Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Litesa Wallace a 32% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Eric Sorensen won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Litesa Wallace — 32% model odds
  2. Eric Sorensen — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Marsha Williams — 14% model odds
  4. Jonathan Klarer Logemann — 13% model odds
  5. Angie Normoyle — 3% model odds
  6. Jacqueline Mcgowan — 2% model odds
  7. Kermit Thomas — 2% model odds
  8. Linda Mcneely — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts