Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darin Lahood a 75% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Darin Lahood won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darin Lahood — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Walt Peters — 8% model odds
  3. Joanne Guillemette — 8% model odds
  4. Michael Rebresh — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts