Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Koolidge a 30% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Scott R. Gryder won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Mike Koolidge — 30% model odds
- Scott R. Gryder — 22% model odds (won)
- James T. "Jim" Marter — 22% model odds
- Jaime Milton — 21% model odds
- Jack, Ii Lombardi — 6% model odds