Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Regan Deering an 80% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Regan Deering won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Regan Deering — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Jesse Reising — 14% model odds
  3. Matt Hausman — 4% model odds
  4. Terry Martin — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts