Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nikki Budzinski a 95% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Nikki Budzinski won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Nikki Budzinski — 95% model odds (won)
  2. David Palmer — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts