Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Catalina Lauf a 54% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Catalina Lauf won, matching the model's top pick.
- Catalina Lauf — 54% model odds (won)
- Susan L. Hathaway-Altman — 20% model odds
- Mark Joseph Carroll — 9% model odds
- Jerry Evans — 6% model odds
- Cassandra Tanner Miller — 6% model odds
- Andrea Heeg — 6% model odds