Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raja Krishnamoorthi an 80% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Raja Krishnamoorthi won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Raja Krishnamoorthi — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Junaid Ahmed — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts