Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Danny K. Davis an 85% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Danny K. Davis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Danny K. Davis — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Denarvis C. Mendenhall — 9% model odds
  3. Kina Collins — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts