Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tommy Hanson a 33% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Tommy Hanson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Tommy Hanson — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Malgorzata Mcgonigal — 33% model odds
  3. Frank Rowder — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts