Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gilbert "Gil" Villegas a 49% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Delia Ramirez won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Gilbert "Gil" Villegas — 49% model odds
  2. Delia Ramirez — 48% model odds (won)
  3. Iymen H. Chehade — 2% model odds
  4. Juan Enrique Aguirre — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts