Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric Carlson a 25% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Eric Carlson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric Carlson — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Jeffery T Regnier — 25% model odds
  3. Geno Young — 25% model odds
  4. Philanise White — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts