Illinois House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Nykea Pippion Mcgriff an 18% chance of winning the Illinois House 2022 primary. Jonathan L. Jackson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Nykea Pippion Mcgriff — 18% model odds
  2. Jonathan L. Jackson — 5% model odds (won)
  3. Pat Dowell — 5% model odds
  4. Karin Norington-Reaves — 5% model odds
  5. Jacqueline "Jacqui" Collins — 5% model odds
  6. Chris Butler — 5% model odds
  7. Jahmal Cole — 5% model odds
  8. Jonathan T. Swain — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts