Iowa Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Franken a 34% chance of winning the Iowa Senate 2022 primary. Michael Franken won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Michael Franken — 34% model odds (won)
  2. Abby Finkenauer — 32% model odds
  3. Glenn Hurst — 31% model odds
  4. Scattered — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts