Iowa House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Zach Nunn a 65% chance of winning the Iowa House 2022 primary. Zach Nunn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Zach Nunn — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Nicole Hasso — 21% model odds
  3. Gary Leffler — 7% model odds
  4. Scattered — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts