Iowa House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cindy Axne a 73% chance of winning the Iowa House 2022 primary. Cindy Axne won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cindy Axne — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 27% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts