Iowa House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Liz Mathis an 81% chance of winning the Iowa House 2022 primary. Liz Mathis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Liz Mathis — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts