Hawaii Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Wallyn Kanoelani Christian a 34% chance of winning the Hawaii Senate 2022 primary. Bob Mcdermott won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Wallyn Kanoelani Christian — 34% model odds
- Bob Mcdermott — 13% model odds (won)
- Timothy A. Dalhouse — 13% model odds
- Steven R. Bond — 13% model odds
- Asia Lavonne — 13% model odds
- Emma Jane A. Pohlman — 13% model odds