Hawaii House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jill N. Tokuda a 77% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2022 primary. Jill N. Tokuda won, matching the model's top pick.
- Jill N. Tokuda — 77% model odds (won)
- Patrick Pihana Branco — 6% model odds
- Kyle T. Yoshida — 4% model odds
- Brendan Schultz — 4% model odds
- Nicole Gi — 4% model odds
- Steven B. Sparks — 4% model odds