Hawaii House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Conrad Kress a 74% chance of winning the Hawaii House 2022 primary. Conrad Kress won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Conrad Kress — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Arturo P. Reyes — 13% model odds
  3. Patrick C. Largey — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts