GU House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Judith T. Won Pat an 80% chance of winning the GU House 2022 primary. Judith T. Won Pat won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Judith T. Won Pat — 80% model odds (won)
2. Telena Cruz Nelson — 10% model odds
3. Scattered — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts