Georgia Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Raphael Warnock a 50% chance of winning the Georgia Senate 2022 primary. Raphael Warnock won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Raphael Warnock — 50% model odds (won)
2. Tamara Johnson-Shealey — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts