Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marjorie Taylor Greene a 61% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Marjorie Taylor Greene won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Marjorie Taylor Greene — 61% model odds (won)
2. Jennifer Strahan — 22% model odds
3. Eric Cunningham — 4% model odds
4. James Haygood — 4% model odds
5. Charles Lutin — 4% model odds
6. Seth Synstelien — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts