Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Wendy Davis a 51% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Marcus Flowers won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Wendy Davis — 51% model odds
  2. Marcus Flowers — 40% model odds (won)
  3. Holly Mccormack — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts