Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vernon J. Jones a 38% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Mike Collins won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Vernon J. Jones — 38% model odds
  2. Timothy Barr — 38% model odds
  3. Mike Collins — 12% model odds (won)
  4. Paul Broun — 3% model odds
  5. David Curry — 2% model odds
  6. Alan Sims — 2% model odds
  7. Marc Mcmain — 2% model odds
  8. Mitchell Swan — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts