Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Gonsalves a 50% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Mark Gonsalves won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark Gonsalves — 50% model odds (won)
2. Michael Corbin — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts